At last, we have finally arrived to the third best week in golf (behind the Masters, and the British Open that is), and that’s the US Open! This year is a special one for me at least, and that’s because it will be ten years since Tiger last won a major which was back at the 2008 US Open. Also, this means that ten years ago this week is when I decided to take up golf, and I have to say thank you to the man in Sunday red for that. To think that it has been ten years that he has been stuck at 14 majors is crazy, but luckily, he is back in the field this year so there is a lot more excitement compared to the past few years. This years US Open will be played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club located in Southhampton, New York. Alright enough with the introduction, here are my picks for this years US Open:
Jon Rahm – 22/1 (Win Outright)
The 5th ranking golfer in the world comes into this week making 11 of 12 cuts this season which includes a 5th place showing a few weeks back as well as a 4th place finish at the masters. Rahm’s ability to bomb it off the tee will be a huge asset this week and his iron play has been solid too, a combination of both should certainly put him into contention this week. Before missing last years cut at the US Open, Rahm was the top amateur in 2016, he has shown that he can win and compete in these notable tournaments.
Tommy Fleetwood – 45/1 (Win outright)
Fleetwood has been spectacular this year. Has made 7 of 8 cuts since the Honda Classic where he finished 4th and wait for it…..out of those 7 cuts he has finished inside the top 10 in 3 of them, not bad I if I must say. Another positive if there were not enough of them, he placed 4th at last years US Open. I am still kicking myself for not getting him at around 80/1 earlier in the year, however at 45/1 that is still good considering his form has been excellent. I expect Fleetwood to be in the mix comes Sunday. Only a matter of time before he wins a major and this could be the week.
Thank you to @JustinRayGC for digging deep and finding this information, another positive for Fleetwood!
Marc Leishman – 60/1 (Win outright)
I picked Leishman a few weeks back at the Memorial Tournament, unfortunately Leishman had a disappointing showing which resulted in a 62nd place finish. With that being said, he was 40/1 two weeks ago and is now 60/1….not too sure why he dropped that much but hey lets take advantage of it! Leishman typically plays better at the Masters and British Open, however placings of T18 & T27 the past two years at the US Open are appealing. With this years US Open playing more as a links style course I am hoping his success at the British can be useful this week. Let’s not forget Leishman is a top 15 player in the world, so I will definitely be taking advantage of these odds.
Francesco Molinari – 60/1 (Win outright)
This is kind of bitter sweet, I bought some shares of Molinari at 100/1 a few months back and although It looks like a steal now I should have put more money into him. Molinari has been spectacular as of late winning the BMW PGA Championship three weeks back on the European Tour, and following that up with a second place finish at the Italian Open. He also had a T20 at the Masters and two T25 finishes at a pair of WGC tournaments earlier this year, Molinari can compete on the big stages that’s for sure. Like Leishman, the US Open has not been Molinari’s best major, but considering that he is playing his best golf in a while I believe this year will be a lot different.
Emilliano Grillo – 100/1 (Win outright)
Since the beginning of the calendar year, Grillo has made 13 of 14 cuts which includes 4 top finishes. Like Molinari, I got Grillo at better odds when he was 175/1 a few months back but at 100/1 he still offers a lot of value considering his ceiling. In 2016, he had top 20 finishes in 3 of the 4 majors, but in 2017 he missed 3 of the 4 cuts so a bit of a volatile player in previous years. The track record this year is encouraging, and knowing that he is able to contend means that he is worthy of consideration.
Si Woo Kim – 150/1 (Win outright)
Si Woo Kim….take my money. I don’t know if his odds are misplaced or something but I am alright with that. Kim finished with a T13 at last years US Open, and was able to finish inside the top 25 at this years Masters. Just wait, more positives…..his two career victories on tour are at the Wyndham Championship and the Players, this guy is not afraid of the big stage. He has also made 13 of 14 cuts since the start of the calendar year and I expect him to make another one this week. As for prop bets, I like Kim as a top 10 bet and also to finish as the top Asian player this week as well.
Other prop bets:
Keegan Bradley – Top 10 finish (10/1)
Bradley finished 4th at the US Open in 2014, he has the ceiling to contend. Bradley has spent the last few years getting back to his 2011 form when he won the PGA championship (somehow). This year he has made 13 of 14 cuts and finished 7th at the players, I will take my chances this week.
Andrew Johnston – Top 20 finish (9/1)
Since 2016, Andrew “Beef” Johnston has made every cut at majors except for one in which he withdrew. At the British Open, he has finished T27, and 8th so I am hoping his links style success can be a factor this week.
Brandon Steele – Top 20 finish (7/1)
Out of the 10 cuts Steele has made this year, he has placed inside the top 20 in four of them. Steele has also finished 13th & 15th the past two years at the US Open. His length off the tee can be a huge factor this week which is another reason why I like him. Wow….just found out Steele has me blocked on twitter….I still like him as a top 20 finish prop bet though.
I mentioned this a few weeks back and that I will never use favourites as my picks. I was actually considering not including Rahm but I do believe he offers some value at those odds, and obviously, I believe he can win too. I didn’t bet much last week so the money I saved will now be used for this week, really looking forward to this weeks major…lets hope one of these guys comes away with the win!
*Odds are provided by Bodog as of June 13th, 2018*
Just curious, how do you rank all four majors? Comment down below….you just might have them ranked the same as me!