*Odds are provided by Bodog as of May 28th, 2018*
*Will be monitored as the week goes on*
This will be my first time providing you guys with some of my betting predictions, so let’s hope we start off strong. To make sure everyone is aware, I will never provide you guys with favourites….so this week guys like DJ, Day, Rory will not be listed. Instead, I am going to be looking at the tiers below to see if there is any value that would present itself as a good bet, and this week there sure is. Also, follow me on twitter leading up to the start of the tournament, in case any value pops up you will be sure to know about it. Alright, lets begin!
Marc Leishman – 40/1 (Win outright)
Leishman has a good track record at this tournament with finishes of T15, T11, T5 in his last three appearances. As for this year on tour, Leishman has had top 10’s at the Masters and the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and two weeks ago he finished 2nd at the AT&T Byron Nelson. A world class player who is in great form, can’t go wrong with that at 40/1.
Matt Kuchar – 45/1 (Win outright)
Like Leishman, Kuchar has a good track record at Muirfield Village with placings of T4, T4, T26, and T15 in his last 4 appearances at this tournament, to make it better….he won here back in 2013. Has made 15 of 16 cuts this year to go along with 3 top 10’s. Kuchar knows how to win here and will always be around for the weekend, at 45/1 for a former winner that’s very good value.
Tony Finau – 55/1 (Win outright)
Finau has made his last 5 cuts and has finished in the top 25 in all but one of them. Although he finished T40 last year at this tournament, he had previous showings of T8 and T11 which is appealing. I can see him contending on the weekend, at 55/1 he offers some value.
Charl Schwartzel – 66/1 (Win outright)
Schwartzel has been in phenomenal form as of late with finishes of T2, T9, and 3rd in his last three starts on the PGA tour. He also had a T8 finish at this tournament back in 2014. It is definitely nice to see Schwartzel back in form, he has shown that he can win the bigger tournaments, and at 66/1 it would be a great week to have some shares on him.
Keegan Bradley – 100/1 (Win outright), 15/1 (Top 5), 6/1 (Top 10)
Look….this pick isn’t pretty by any means, the guy has not won since 2012. With that being said, a T7 at the Players and 12 of 14 cuts made to start the year is promising. Bradley did miss the cut here last year, but posted back to back T8 finishes before that. Another positive is that his driving accuracy has improved this year, as he is 23rd on tour in that category, at a course like this that will certainly help. I will throw a few shares on Bradley to win, but this is someone who I will target more for a top 10 finish.
Adam Hadwin – 125/1 (Win outright), 25/1 (Top 5), 10/1 (Top 10)
Of course, I had to include a Canadian in my picks! There are other reasons I like Hadwin though, his T11 finish in 2016 is one of them. Hadwin has also posted a top 20 finish in 5 of his last 8 tournaments so the form is there. Like Bradley, I will throw a few shares for him to win outright, but I like Hadwin as a top 5/10 bet as he has the ceiling at the tournament to go there.
Sam Burns – 300/1 (Win outright), 20/1 (Top 10)
This is more of a gut feeling pick, but I am putting money down on Burns to finish inside the top 10 as well as to win outright. As a rookie, Burns managed to finished 8th at the Honda Classic, and 12th at the API, not bad for a rookie. I also like the story in this scenario and that putting up a good placing at Jack Nicklaus’s tournament would be great to see.
Look, nothing would make me happier than to see Tiger come away with the trophy this week, or for every week in that matter. Do I think he can win this week? Of course, he is Tiger Woods for a reason, he can win any week. However, he is 20/1 and there is really no value there, obviously, his name has something to do with that but until I see him around the 30/40 range I don’t think I will be betting him anytime soon. The only bad thing about that is that means he would have to have a few bad showings, and I don’t think anyone in the golfing world would want that to happen.
Hope you guys take advantage of these predictions, these are my personal own but I have given reasons for each selection on why they would be a good bet. As I mentioned above, follow me on twitter for any new value bets that pop up, we can also chat on Sunday when these guys are in contention!